There are two possibilities in Gold. Possibility 1 shared in another post (Targets of Possibility 1: 0.236: $2056, 0.382: $2781)
As per Possibility 2 the spike move up was 5th of 3 and hence we have just completed a 3rd Wave in weekly time frame - ending the move from Oct 2023 lows.
In this case also, we can expect 0.382: 2850, 0.5: 2650.
Gold went up on account of multiple reasons, key of which being de-dollarization and buying by non US countries.
However, my sense is that the spike in price was on account of trades from institutions, which will get unwound when price starts correcting and fuel the correction on the way down.
The move in last 2 weeks was a typical parabolic move, which should mark the capitulation.
Probable Risk: The last move from April lows was just 1 of 5. Hence keeping SL of current high is important.
Breaking 3150 (0.618 of the move from April) should give us more confident that 5 is done.
As per Possibility 2 the spike move up was 5th of 3 and hence we have just completed a 3rd Wave in weekly time frame - ending the move from Oct 2023 lows.
In this case also, we can expect 0.382: 2850, 0.5: 2650.
Gold went up on account of multiple reasons, key of which being de-dollarization and buying by non US countries.
However, my sense is that the spike in price was on account of trades from institutions, which will get unwound when price starts correcting and fuel the correction on the way down.
The move in last 2 weeks was a typical parabolic move, which should mark the capitulation.
Probable Risk: The last move from April lows was just 1 of 5. Hence keeping SL of current high is important.
Breaking 3150 (0.618 of the move from April) should give us more confident that 5 is done.
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관련 발행물
면책사항
이 정보와 게시물은 TradingView에서 제공하거나 보증하는 금융, 투자, 거래 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권고 사항을 의미하거나 구성하지 않습니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참고하세요.