DAX / H4 : Ending Diagonal to terminate wave 5 ?

2017년 6월 14일

Just as the DOW count revealed, the DAX may be creating an ending diagonal formation on fifth and final wave of the current count that started upon Trump's election and fueled the price without a single retracement (as 2 & 4 were both flat corrections).
Anyway we might be reaching a market top as suggested and as we didn't have any retracement and that this wave was basically based on promises that will less likely come afterwards.. I anticipate that we should have a profound 50% retracement of this wave. Maybe more if we have some catalysts in the meantime.
For agressive traders, there is still one subwave count to finish in this possible ending diagonal as subwave are supposed to be in ZigZags. So we have wave A, now retracing to B point that we should reach soon, that leaves us with a C wave to look for before considering agressive shorts. Generally we use the fibo extension of 78,6% of previous wave as target... you have it on the chart !
For less agressive ones, of course waiting for the wedge to break down. Remember that ending diagonal breakouts generally creates strong movements with extended 1st wave impulse as first A retracement wave. So there's plenty of room to go close this Macron gap I guess ! That will be Target 1 for ;)

2017년 6월 20일

액티브 트레이드

Agressive entry signal was given this morning on m15 timeframe.. I'm in... now wait to see if price confirms reversal to put some more leverage in there