Our thoughts on this pair right now...

2016년 6월 27일

Following Sunday’s 240-pip gap lower, the GBP continued to decline in value against the US dollar yesterday, erasing a further 200 pips in the process! In spite of price finding support around the 1.32 handle as well as trading back around referendum lows 1.3226 (marked support on the daily timeframe), this storm is far from over as political uncertainty continues to plague the GBP currency.

Although one could take the three nice-looking H4 buying tails around 1.32 as a signal to go long, we would not label this a high-probability zone for a trade! We could go on for hours why one should or should not trade this pair. Of course we understand why bearish sentiment on this pair is strong and no doubt a lot of traders are trying to take advantage. However, we’re pretty sure the majority thought the pound was going to appreciate when the ‘remain’ camp was almost sure to take victory! This just proves that following the herd does not always work!

To put it simply, in times of trouble we either look for other opportunity elsewhere or simply remain flat. Trading is all about risk management and about acting in one’s own best interest, and trying a hand in this market when the Brits economy is up in the air is just too much of a gamble for us.