FTSE MIB (short Idea)

Hi,
I have in mind 2 scenarios.

Currently FTSEMIB is at the upper band of the BB, very close to its resistance level. I think it will be rejected and approach the support (1st rectangle area).

At this point,
IF global market conditions will be good and expected (and I mean SPX + Eurozone Interest rate), then FTSEMIB may rebounce from this area and try to break the resistance line. [scenario A]

IF global market conditions will NOT be good and SPX will be rejected from its trendline, then FTSEMIB may retest the 2nd support area.

events noted: Today Lagarde's speech and on 2nd Feb the Eurozone monetary policy