Bond Yield : From Negative to Positive and Negative Again

2020년 3월 24일

Japan and German Bond Yield just recently enter a positive area.

These Bond Yields previously have moved in a negative area since Investors keep buying those assets. But since the outbreak, Investor seems to ignore safe heaven and hoard cash. They sold Japan and German Bond so those bond yields are increasing since the prices are decreasing.

France Bond Yield is in a negative area which means Investor is still keeping that bond. US Treasury Yield is still positive but Investors believe that the yield soon touches zero-line and enters a negative territory.

I monitor these Yields to measure how investor reacts to the outbreak and possible global recession.

2020년 4월 10일

노트

What I really want to see in this chart is whether US10Y can actually reach below zero line. I think it is so important to watch because negative yield means Investors (in that country) lose their faith in risky assets in the country.

Imagine if US Investors avoid SPX or DJI. That happens when US10Y gives a negative yield.