EUR Index - Outlook for EUR in the Short to Medium Term (2024)

Euro Strength: The EUR has potential for strength in the near term, particularly if the ECB continues its hawkish stance and the US Fed becomes more dovish in 2025. The interest rate differential, coupled with geopolitical stability in Europe, could support the euro.
Risks: Key risks to the euro include renewed geopolitical shocks (especially related to the Russia-Ukraine war or instability in the Mediterranean), weaker-than-expected economic growth in the Eurozone, and further disruptions in global trade.