We have a busy claendar today for forex traders, with US producer prices data, FOMC minutes and several Fed members set to speak. Clearly this lineup has the potential for some larger moves on the US dollar, and that helps explain why the 1-day implied volatilty level for EUR/USD is nearly 200% of its 20-day average.
What’s grabed our attention is that DXY has retraced for five days yet is holdig above the January high / September 29 low. And that this coicides with a euro rally that has paused beneath resistance, it suggests the USD may be nearing an inflection point.
For EUR/USD to roll over form current levels, weak PPI data, dovish comments and minutes may be required. But traders should keep an eye on bond yields, because if they continue to fall it could further weigh on the US dollar and helpd EUR/USD braeak above the resitance cluster. However it plays out, bulsl and bears have clear levels to monitor for their setups.
What’s grabed our attention is that DXY has retraced for five days yet is holdig above the January high / September 29 low. And that this coicides with a euro rally that has paused beneath resistance, it suggests the USD may be nearing an inflection point.
For EUR/USD to roll over form current levels, weak PPI data, dovish comments and minutes may be required. But traders should keep an eye on bond yields, because if they continue to fall it could further weigh on the US dollar and helpd EUR/USD braeak above the resitance cluster. However it plays out, bulsl and bears have clear levels to monitor for their setups.
