EURUSD MAY GO DOWN

2023년 3월 3일

The euro lost almost 0.7% on Thursday as better-than-expected U.S. economic data pushed the U.S. dollar higher.
Possible effects for traders

The U.S. dollar strengthened after the unemployment claims report pointed out a strong U.S. jobs market. Other data showed growing labor costs, indicating the Fed has to raise interest rates further to tame inflation. 'This move higher that you're seeing in U.S. rates is not happening in isolation. Similar developments are happening in the rest of the world, in particular in Europe, mostly notably, where the inflation data keeps on surprising relatively strong,' said Alvise Marino, the macro trading strategist at Credit Suisse. In other words, even if the Fed's policy remains hawkish, the European Central Bank will not fall behind and will continue raising the base rate.

Thus, the fundamental picture for EURUSD remains rather mixed. Today's speeches from three Fed officials after 4:00 p.m. UTC may offer some clues. The key levels for the pair to watch are 1.07000 and 1.05300.