ETHUSD Perspective And Levels: Higher Low Is Bullish But Slow.

2017년 8월 18일

ETHUSD Update: Higher low unfolds in the low 290s which establishes a subdegree Wave 2 bottom. All this market needs is a catalyst because in terms of price structure, this it is poised to push the 315 resistance.

So much for the head and shoulders everyone was afraid of. If that bearish reversal pattern was in play, we would be breaking supports, not forming higher lows. Many may not realize it, but it seems they try to outsmart the market, and you can't. Instead, let the market prove itself. As price action traders we are detectives, not warriors.

Higher lows as we know often lead to higher highs, especially in a strong market. Since this market is slow and lacks any significant catalyst, the subdegree wave 2 that we are currently in may linger and develop into a small triangle. This condition can lead price back into the low 290s and even into the 280s again. The key to this activity, (as I have written about in other reports) is watching the support levels. 279 and 263 still hold. As long as price stays above these proportionally bullish levels, expecting a breakout in the short term is reasonable.

In terms of wave count, subdegree Wave 3 is never the shortest wave, which means if this market enters subdegree Wave 3, in terms of proportion, price reaching the 350s makes sense. This market just needs a catalyst. Maybe, as some have suggested, BTC needs to cool off and those participants will pour into this market. A quick look at the ETH/BTC chart shows price consolidating within a significant support area, which adds to ETH bullish argument even further. A 320 resistance break will confirm subdegree Wave 3 is in progress.

In summary, the small higher low formation in the low 290s is a welcome bullish sign, but until a catalyst enters this market, a subdegree Wave 2 triangle is possible before subdegree Wave 3 unfolds. 279 and 263 support levels need to hold in order to maintain this bullish outlook. A breakout above 320 opens the door to my 350 target area, and at this point it is just a matter of time. Keep in mind I am NOT making predictions, anything can happen in this market. I am evaluating price structures, and making comparisons to get an idea of what is more likely to happen. Less experienced participants think they are jut looking at lines and candle sticks. What they are missing is that the patterns
formed by these candle sticks provide information about the underling motivations of the buyers and sellers whose orderflow made those candles appear.

Comments and questions welcome.

2017년 8월 19일

노트

Bought 25% more at 291.68. Stop is 276. Target 340.