Tech Earnings & Fed Meeting - July 30th - ES 100pt drop?

I trade ES Futures and have identified an important support shelf that if broken could accelerate lower.

There is lower monthly volume below 6400 area. The monthly Point of Control is currently at 6300. The monthly 61.8% retracement is 6316. We have a fed meeting today and while trapping can happen, my lean is that we lose the 6400 level this week and could reach the 6316 target very quickly. Each level drawn are the more significant levels as to where institutional buyers may step in.