SPY: How It could play out - 3-options Trade-plans Bear-Scenario

Attempt to publish #3

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www.tradingview.com/...s-Bearish-Break-SPY/

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It would appear as though we've chosen the green path?

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Blue path traces it perfectly, but it's leading the price action too far to be obvious.
If you just moved the blue arrows over one week, it's the 'Most' similar to what we're seeing