All indexes lost the 18ma yesterday on that dramatic reversal - bearish. On /ES the 18ma is sitting at 3680 and any test of that level is an objective short. We also lost the pitchfork fib support, so I must lean bearish until both the 18ma and the pitchfork fib support (3700 more or less) is retaken. I do think at this point we will go lower into next week. I'll be away from my desk this morning until around 10:30 - good luck!
코멘트:
fast move up, I'm suspicious of it, but they need to close under 3700 on an hourly candle for me to short it. Right now pitchfork fib is acting as support.
코멘트:
goal for the day is to take out one or the other level for continuation.
코멘트:
one minute chart looks like impulse and correction - so far
코멘트:
18ma support zone is here, expecting a fight for this level
코멘트:
taking shorts slowly, I expect this to keep dropping rest of day
코멘트:
starting to lose pitchfork fib but they will fight here for a while I'm sure. Very important level for both sides
코멘트:
objective short area, with stops of course, shouldn't get over 3700 if correct.
코멘트:
spy chart reaction at yesterday's trendline, this is what I'm watching for, nothing is decided yet.
코멘트:
strong rally off support - right now stopped at the .658 fib.
코멘트:
over that last high and I'll get out of shorts and wait for a safer entry. right now looks like a rejection at .658. again, over 3700 would look bad for bears
코멘트:
stopped out of most shorts now, going to wait for the morning high to be taken out and see if the market can hold that high as support. I'll hold a few shorts in case this is another B leg.
코멘트:
if it's a b then something like this (unlikely but possible). Waiting
코멘트:
a channel on spy I'm watching for break in either direction, should be support on break up/ resistance on breakdown.
코멘트:
over the high - bullish. I'll wait for a retest to try a long trade. if it fails here it' s a bull trap and they just took out stops. Rally should continue from here.
코멘트:
back in the channel, not sure what this, waiting
코멘트:
going to collect a few shorts for the weekend. I don't like the rsi here and we're close to pitchfork resistance. This could be wrong so I'm keeping the position small. Everything looks bullish but my gut tells me otherwise. Gut can be wrong too. OK have a great weekend, I'm going out.
