$DXY Weekly Chart. Directional change| #dxy #dollar #usdx

업데이트됨

The March ’08 advance is labeled as a corrective upswing, a Zig-Zag pattern. Using Fib-price ratio model for this pattern combined with internal price measurements, we have three fib-price ratios converging, heightening the probability that the five-wave sequence (i)-(v) has ended within the last C-wave (circle) of the corrective Zig-Zag pattern indicating the closing of a cycle. The end of the larger degree second-corrective wave 2(square) at 103.82 (61.8% of the first-wave drop (1 square)) is paving the way for the larger trend continuation.

After the completion of the internal fourth-wave correction (iv) of C(circle) which took the form of a triangle, price traded upwards with a 5-wave sequence till January 2017 high at 103.82, responded lower afterwards and has been declining since. Is this the case, then the scenario for the A-B-C (circle) Zig-Zag completion is corroborated as a triangle always occur in a position prior to the final actionary wave, in our case (v)-wave.

Having confirmed the reversal signature and witnessing a five-wave (i.-v.) price event coming to its completion labeled as 1, we have set our price target at 88.70(+/-) awaiting a reversal from that point, and price to go through some retracement rise.
Could that be the rally of strength during the post bubble contraction phase before the bubble burst? It remains to be seen. One thing for sure though, the next 1-2 years will be dollar’s recovery phase.

Thanks for your attention

Trade with Discipline
Best

노트

Price tested the determined target and we faced the first rejection.
Monitoring price form that point.

노트

Just published my first article-analysis on SeekingAlpha. "A Contradictory View for the U.S$". Any comments are more than welcome: seekingalpha.com/article/4140994-u-s-dollar-index-contradictory-view-major-inflection-point

노트

Closer look, completing the 5-wave sequence Eyes at 87.20(+/-)

노트

Flat in action

노트

Counter trend rally began.

노트

Five-wave sequence developed. Wait for the correction phase.

노트

DXY short developing with an exp flat formation.

노트

Potential extended corrective wave for (b) completion

노트

The U.S dollar index is set to accelerate higher through the remainder of this year. This is based upon the incomplete a-b-c zig zag advance from its Feb. ’18 low of 88.26.
I have launched a blog as my personal thought repository and worth sharing readings for all things trading and markets that may catch my attention.
You can find it here: trading-manifesto.com/

노트

The dollar is already on its way lower confirming
the continuation of its downtrend, having completed its Zig-Zag first upside target-off some pips, as there is a shortened wave (c) within this structure