Dollar Index - How Low Can We Really Go?

The U.S. dollar is having the kind of year that makes you check if someone switched its medication — down about 10% so far in 2025, its worst showing since Richard Nixon murdered the gold standard.

Momentum traders had a field day this week with low resistance from 98.100 to 97.500 within one trading session.

This draw towards sell side liquidity was covered in the previous analysis and if you participated in the short play this week, you should be proud of yourself!

GBPUSD and EURUSD (the only 2 FX pairs I track) rallied on dollar weakness, targeting premium arrays on the 1-hour timeframe.

Although my overall bias for dollar index is bearish which will provide risk on scenarios, it does not mean every single week will print limit down. Retracements are expected. For this reason, I am playing it safe by being neutral.