EUR/USD Macro Structure | Don’t Miss the Cycle Shift

After reviewing the 12M, 2M, and currency indexes — this isn’t just a bounce, it’s a potential macro reversal.

EUR/USD (2M Chart)
We’ve now got two Morning Star Dojis followed by a bullish engulfing — price is climbing steadily toward 1.16319 (neckline zone). If we break and retest clean, 1.25560 becomes a high-probability target. I view this as the neckline of a multi-year W-formation.

💶EUR Index (16D Chart)
The breakout has already occurred. Retest is happening now around the 1.057 zone. Fibonacci structure supports continuation, and volume confirms strength. If momentum holds, 1.085 – 1.130+ are valid extensions.

💵 USD Index (DXY - 16D Chart)
Meanwhile, the dollar is breaking down from a neckline around 98. If the 97–98 range gives way, we may revisit 88.253, confirming a shift in USD dominance.

🌐 Fundamental Alignment:
The Eurozone is pushing hard for digital transformation, with the ECB advancing legislation on the digital euro. Christine Lagarde has been vocal about blockchain innovation — and XRP’s involvement in cross-border integration is no coincidence.

🎯 Key Price Levels:

1.16319: Neckline (retest zone)

1.25560: Mid-term target

1.60195: Macro expansion (long-term, structure-dependent)

📌 I encourage all traders to zoom out and track structure across multiple timeframes. Sometimes the past holds clues to the future.