DXY Index: Wave 4 needs confirmation.

8월 17일

The DXY index already completed wave C and moved near to the level of wave B.

If wave 4 in the blue circle is completed, the sub-wave B will be broken soon to complete the wave 5 in the blue circle.

If the pattern of wave 4 is going to be an expanded triangle, we can see wave D and wave E to finalize wave 4 in the blue circle.

This is only my view of EW for DXY. I may be wrong.

8월 23일

노트

Latest on Chair Powell’s remarks about a potential Fed rate cut at the September 16–17, 2025 meeting:
- Powell left the possibility of a rate cut open, but didn't commit.
- A weakening job market—the “curious balance” of supply and demand pulling into sync—could justify easing even amid inflation risks.
- Markets' Take : Very bullish: odds for a cut climbed to around 90%, and equities and bond markets responded strongly.
- Fed’s Approach : Strategic and cautious—monitor incoming data before making a move.