$DOT — August–September Consolidation Setting Up a Q4 Rally

Polkadot has shown a repeating seasonal pattern over the past three years: downtrends into late summer, followed by August–September consolidation phases, often setting the stage for Q4 rallies.

Currently, DOT is once again holding the $3.00 major support zone, building a base similar to previous cycles. A reclaim of the $5.42 resistance could open the path toward the $8–11 zone into October–December, aligning with the typical “altseason” period when capital rotates from BTC into higher-beta alts.

Last year, October’s consolidation stretched longer, coinciding with macro uncertainty from the U.S. election and Federal Reserve policy meetings. This kept risk assets muted until clarity emerged, after which BTC and alts regained momentum.

This year, the upcoming Fed rate cut in mid-September could act as the spark for an altcoin bull run into year-end, especially if BTC stabilizes and capital begins rotating into higher-beta names.

Invalidation : If BTC extends its downtrend and DOT loses $3.00 support, this setup is invalidated. Volume confirmation on any breakout will be crucial.

Not financial advice :)