Possible Retracement Levels for Dow Corrective Reactionary Wave

2018년 8월 10일

Don't expect a real hard selloff; this is an alternating wave coming off the June Swoon deep selloff, but could still have some pretty fierce selling and ^^Vix.

Index will likely go on to form double top and new All-Time High, breaking up from channel later this year after resting comfortably at ~24840-25040 for a few days.

We are in a 'reactionary wave' meaning countertrend, corrective; the Primary trend is Bull, and this looks like a primary 4th down wave in 5 wave bullish impulse.

This fourth wave (Y/D on chart) will possibly consist of a full 5 wave corrective impulse, we will see more as it unfolds, which will help gauge depth of pulloff.

Fifth wave will possibly have extraordinary strength and breadth, as it is a combo of several coincident bullish impulses (V)(5)(v)(E) of multiple waves cycles converging.

In short; it could be a trip to the Moon. Don't miss the launch!

Notice how rising support lines reach back to intersection at "Y" corrective wave- look for strong support around former resistance at 25040.

If wave breaks thru S1 @.382 Fibo, it will likely find firm S2 around 0.50 Fibo @24840. I wouldn't bet on a deeper pullback, although a flash crash is always possible.

Comments are always welcome-
Good luck!

2018년 8월 11일

액티브 트레이드

Gosh the maniacs in the US markets continue to amaze me daily. Last week a mad scramble to load up on shares and buying seats on the Moon shot shuttle; now throwing out babies with bathwater in panic to dump the shares they overpaid for just two days ago. Look for a 50% retracement or about 150 - 200 point rebound for a small up Wave 2 in this countertrend, before continuing lower. I am still long on a few puts but sitting on cash to see what madness awaits on Monday. Good Luck!