숏

US30 @30K?!? Path to ATH: Lower Before Higher; Ride the Rails

업데이트됨

Chart says all. US 30 trending in pitchfork straight railroad track pattern. Bear signal on 12/30/19; comes at or near completion of 5-wave Elliott impulse.

Expect Bear down until it taps the lower rail; a bounce from there into Springtime will finish at 30K, intersection of top rail. Short until ABC completes; then all-in Long.

This isn't investing advice; trade at your own risk! GLTA!

노트

Touched the TL on the short-covering EOD rush to double top. Dam close to topping here IMO- unsustainable atm, diverging internals. RUT selling on this. Wont be long now IMO, patience, when it sells it will be hard and fast- be ready. I accumulate SPXS, VIXY, VIX May $19 calls. No puts yet!

노트

Picked up 40 puts Friday in late session, closed on gap down Mon AM; re-entered on retracement rally. Fairly evident Bearish shot-term trend starting IMO.
These are hedges with spreads in Feb ATM contracts spread against 10 Jan Friday's OTM contracts. Got some pretty high prices for the short legs early on! GLTA!

액티브 트레이드

Rolled Jan short legs up and out to the 17 Jan strikes, netting pretty nice credit; small drawdown on the overnight futures reversal; IMO this will sell soon; Waiting on the 13 Jan Fibo time.

노트

Adding to DJIA Feb bear spreads. Adding to VIX June $17 calls. Agree with comments below this bull run likely continue until RUT double tops; could be near the Dec price at 1678; ATH was 1740 in Aug 2018. Topping likely to occur in January IMO.

노트

Hugs the rail in bull pennant... Fibo time suggests correction may occur beginning in week of 13 Jan.

노트

Get ready...

액티브 트레이드

Amazing tenacity...how it crawls up the top rail... IMO wait for SPX to break 3300, RUT to double top. Accumulating VIX calls June $17 strikes; closed all puts in the early retrace to fill opening gap.

노트

Last two topping formations both lasted 13 days and broke on the 14th. Now on day 8 in the nosebleed zone. Expect rollover to commence on/about Weds/Thurs/Fri next week, Jan 22/23/24...

노트

Shorting DIA in Feb 290P spread vs. Jan 287.5P, net debit $3.85, in 20 contracts. Added to VIX $17 calls got in for $2.40; see if we get VIX crush under $12, running close now.

노트

Added 2 more spreads on the bull rush, short leg in the 24 Jan 287.5 for net $3.15.
When the 17 Jan legs go to nickels and dimes can roll to next series.

SPX and NQ appear to be topping at these prices, touched same ATH and pushback.
Expect selling on the news this PM and Thursday. Can still rally higher OFC!

노트

And it rallies again! Exhaustion gap IMO. Rolled the short legs up! Holding on for correction.

노트

Amazing VIX is only off a dime in this madness! Picked up more Jun $17 calls... bargain hunting!

액티브 트레이드

Added VIX calls and rolled short legs on bear spreads. De minimis drawdown today, feels like nearing the climax IMO.

노트

Funny how job openings dropped sharply (less work available) and industrial production sliipped four months in a row, but the happy fools keep throwing money at this like there's no tomorrow! LOL when the tankoff comes it will be furious... another February meltdown like 2018 IMO. GLTA!

DaddySawbucks