Will 1929 Repeat?

2022년 3월 8일

Will history repeat ?

The bar pattern overlapped shows a really interesting view on the market structure compared to 1929. Things are looking very much the same 100 years later.

Price hit the 3.618 Fib extension in 1929 and crashed shortly after with the tension of war at the time, you had the Sino-Soviet conflict with Russia and china in 1929.

100 years later we seem to be having the same world circumstances where there is war with Russia involved and we have also hit the 3.618 extension not only that we have also hit this 100 year resistance line that has caused massive muti year pullbacks whenever hit.

I have been following six month RSI bearish divergence for a while now and it now seems with have broken down from this triangle we were in , take a look below.



Zoomed in picture of the bar pattern



It is possible we have one more upthrust to the 4.618 before a big crash this can take 1 year to play out. Human nature is cyclical we tend to repeat behavior and you can see that in the charts .