DAX Watch this low risk November trading plan.

2023년 11월 13일

It's been a bit long since we last took a trade on DAX (DE40) but it didn't disappoint as it hit both our buy and sell targets (see chart below) within the 3-month Channel Down:

The rebound took place within the 6-month Support Zone and slightly under the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), similar to the March 20 rebound. The fractals are identical as they both rebounded aggressively, indicating strong demand inside the Support Zone. Both also formed a strong 1D MACD Bullish Cross straight after they bottomed.

The price is now on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) at the top of the Channel Down, and the last two days failed to close the 1D candle above the MA50, despite breaking it. The Resistance pressure is getting stronger since this is also the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from the July 31 top.

As a result, we are willing to sell the Lower Highs top of the Channel Down and target 15050 (can go even to the 0.618 Fib level but we seek short-term exposure for now) but only as long as the candles close below the 1D MA50. Upon the first 1D candle closing above the 1D MA50, we will take the loss and resume buying, targeting the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) at 15635.

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