Main Expected Path & Alt Path

Mapped out the most likely (solid green) and 2nd most likely (dashed black) trajectories:

Most likely:
174 by 10/19/2022
152 by 10/21
204 by 10/31
184 by 11/3
216 by 11/9/2022

2nd most likely/alt. (would take longer to play out than main path, see dates on chart):
195
162
247
215
267