Crude Futures Push Above The 200 DMA

6월 12일

Technical Momentum Strengthens

Crude Oil futures are rebounding in 2024 after trading above the 200-day moving average at $77.54. The technical perspective shows momentum studies rising from oversold territories, while the 9-day moving average trades below the 18-day. DMI- is slightly above DMI +, indicating that the market is still in a correction phase, while the Average True Range declines to $1.77 daily, showing an uptick in volatility.

API Inventories Decline

API Inventory has decreased recently, indicating a tighter supply picture. Recent API inventory data shows a decline of 2.4 million barrels. The current EIA inventories are 455 million barrels, compared to the five-year average of 474 million barrels for this period.

Cushing stocks in the Midwest show 35 million barrels in inventory versus a five-year average of 42 million barrels.

Middle East Tensions Rise

The U.S. economy continues to expand in 2024, driven by the high probability of a soft landing, which fuels investor sentiment. Geopolitical tensions have increased recently, indicating the possibility of a widening Middle Eastern conflict in the future. Traders will remain focused on inflation data, inventory productions, and the direction of economic data.

tradingview.com/cme/
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs

Disclaimers
*Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.

Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.