경질 원유 선물

WTI breaks out of consolidation, $90 up next?

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WTI broke out of consolidation and closed above its 200-day EMA and resistance zone. The OBV (on balance indicator) confirmed the breakout with a move to a new cycle high, and volumes (whilst below average) are turning higher to show buyers stepping back in.

Furthermore, we saw a gap ahead of the consolidation above 79, although using classic definitions it doesn't quite fit into 'breakaway' or 'runaway' gap category. Regardless, we've seen a 30% rally from the March low with a gap along the way, OPEC+ cut oil production, and the trend points higher.

With that said, the 200-day MA is capping as resistance, so bulls may want to wait for a break (or daily close) above the level. But overall, the risks appear skewed to the upside.

- The bias remains bullish above 79 and an initial move to 90, then the 93.60 highs
- Wednesday's low could be used for tighter risk management

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