EW Analysis: COCOA May Remain Sideways

업데이트됨

COCOA is sideways for the last 10 years and seems like it will stay like that.

Hello traders!
Today we will talk about Cocoa and its price action from Elliott Wave perspective.

Well, looking at the longer-term weekly chart, we can see Cocoa moving sideways for the last 10 years in the 3700 – 1700 range, ideally within a bigger bearish triangle pattern in wave »B« before we may see even more weakness into a wave C towards 1000 level. But, it is not ready yet, because sub-wave (E) is still missing, so we will probably see a recovery at the end of the year or in 2021 before a bigger sell-off.

As you can see, in the shorter-term daily chart, we are currently tracking a three-wave A-B-C decline within wave (D) that can send the price down to the lower triangle line and 2000 – 1800 area. The only question is, either is sub-wave B already finished or will we see a retest of 2500 – 2700 resistance area before a decline into wave C to complete a higher degree wave (D).

All being said, be aware of more weakness for Cocoa this year, but downside can be limited, so at the end of 2020 or at the beginning of 2021 we may see another, bigger recovery for the final wave (E).

Trade well!

노트

Cocoa is close to previous lows, so we will probably see a break below 2000 region, which will suggest a wave C of (D) underway, targeting 1800 region, where new, bigger bounce may start forming (wave (E) of a higher degree triangle pattern).

노트

COCOA can be finishing a 9-year bearish triangle, so watch out in 2021...