- Similarly to our previous analysis on USDJPY, the CADJPY pair has been trading above a bullish trend line for 7 months ; the mid-term trend was bullish.

- Since the impact around 118.85, the market has registered a sharp pull-back that first led prices back to their bullish trend line around the 23.6% Fibonacci support above 115.385, before a bearish break-out occurred.

This bearish break-out was initially anticipated by the RSI indicator, which took place following a bearish divergence inside the overbought zone.

Both moving averages are now reversing to the downside, but a bearish is cross is still yet to be seen.

- Just like the current situation seen on the USDJPY pair, it is hard to say whether the current correction will go much deeper or not.
However, 113.25 (38.2%) and 111.50 (50%) should be seen as interesting targets for this bearish movement.



Pierre Veyret, Technical Analyst at ActivTrades


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