CAC40 where does it go?

I see two options:
1. Christmas rally, we break 7000 and go higher
2. Last one try, we get rejected and go towards 200EMA on daily chart.
It could be a bull trap. I don’t see enough momentum, especially with next wave of covid.
We all know 2022 will be hard for the markets, they’ve slowed down, the questions is when the downtrent starts?
Very risky at the moment, we can go either way.
I’m not a professional advisor - trade carefully!