The volatility period starting this time is important...
업데이트됨
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(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
The StochRSI indicator has fallen below the midpoint.
Therefore, when this month's candle closes, we need to see if it can close above the 1st.
If not, and it closes near the 2nd, the StochRSI indicator is expected to fall further.
However, if a new HA-High indicator (61099.25) is formed near the 2nd and it shows support near that area, I think it is highly likely that the StochRSI indicator will show an upward trend.
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(1W chart)
Looking at the 1W chart, the volatility period is around the week of July 29th.
Therefore, it can be seen that it is currently in the volatility period.
Since the HA-High indicator is formed at 65920.71, trading is possible depending on whether there is support around this area.
The meaning of receiving support from the HA-High indicator and rising can be interpreted as meaning that there is a possibility of renewing the previous latest high.
Therefore, there is a possibility of rising above 71K.
However, since the first section is 1.13 (67031.36) ~ 69000, the key is whether it can break through this section upward.
In any case, the key is whether it can rise along the important rising channel after passing this volatility period.
If it does not, and falls below 56K and shows resistance, it is expected to turn into a downtrend.
This volatility period is expected to play an important role in determining the trend in the second half of this year, so it seems that we should closely watch the flow.
The trend that is about to form after this volatility period is expected to become full-fledged after mid-September.
Therefore, rather than rushing to start trading, I think it is better to start trading slowly when you have some confidence.
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The StochRSI indicator on the 1M chart is showing a strong downward trend.
However, the StochRSI indicator on the 1W chart can be seen as showing a weak downward trend.
Therefore, we should check whether the StochRSI indicator rises above the midpoint when a new candle is created next week.
If it does not rise above the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart and the StochRSI indicator does not rise above the midpoint, there is a possibility that the downward trend will become stronger again, so caution is required.
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(1D chart)
The important volatility period is the volatility period shown on the 1W chart.
However, I think it is highly likely that a trend will gradually form after passing the volatility period shown on the 1D chart.
Therefore, we need to check what kind of movement it shows after passing the volatility period around July 28 (July 27-29).
The 65920.71-67614.25 section is an important section made up of the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart and the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart.
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Since the creation of the HA-High indicator means that a high point section has been formed, the presence of support near the HA-High indicator is important.
Since the area near the HA-High indicator corresponds to the high point section, in most cases, the area near the HA-High indicator corresponds to the resistance section.
However, in order for a large uptrend, i.e. a step-up, to begin, the price must be maintained above the HA-High indicator.
According to this correlation, the current average purchase price corresponds to the trading point.
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After touching the HA-Low indicator and rising, the HA-High indicator showed a step-up, showing a large uptrend, and now it is touching the HA-Low indicator again and showing the same movement as the current one.
Therefore, if the price can be maintained by rising above the HA-High indicator this time, it is highly likely to show a new uptrend.
However, if it fails and falls, the HA-Low indicator is likely to show a step-down, so caution is required.
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The creation of the HA-Low indicator means that a low point range has been formed.
Therefore, if it falls below the HA-Low indicator, it is highly likely to update the latest low, so caution is required when trading.
Therefore, it is recommended to start trading after confirming the support from the HA-Low indicator, that is, the rising pattern.
If the HA-Low indicator is supported and rises, there is a high possibility of obtaining high profits.
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The M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is rising past the 62K level.
Therefore, after the volatility period around July 28, the key issue is whether there is support around 63118.62-64000.0.
Since the HA-High indicator on the 1M chart is showing a pattern of being created at the 61099.25 point, if it falls below this point and shows resistance, you should ask for a countermeasure for the stepwise downtrend.
Therefore, the direction in which it deviates from the 65920.71-67614.25 section in the 63118.62-64000.0 is something to check during this volatility period (around July 28).
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Have a nice time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
A full-scale uptrend is expected to start after rising above 29K.
The next bull market is expected to touch 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
The StochRSI indicator has fallen below the midpoint.
Therefore, when this month's candle closes, we need to see if it can close above the 1st.
If not, and it closes near the 2nd, the StochRSI indicator is expected to fall further.
However, if a new HA-High indicator (61099.25) is formed near the 2nd and it shows support near that area, I think it is highly likely that the StochRSI indicator will show an upward trend.
-----------------------------------
(1W chart)
Looking at the 1W chart, the volatility period is around the week of July 29th.
Therefore, it can be seen that it is currently in the volatility period.
Since the HA-High indicator is formed at 65920.71, trading is possible depending on whether there is support around this area.
The meaning of receiving support from the HA-High indicator and rising can be interpreted as meaning that there is a possibility of renewing the previous latest high.
Therefore, there is a possibility of rising above 71K.
However, since the first section is 1.13 (67031.36) ~ 69000, the key is whether it can break through this section upward.
In any case, the key is whether it can rise along the important rising channel after passing this volatility period.
If it does not, and falls below 56K and shows resistance, it is expected to turn into a downtrend.
This volatility period is expected to play an important role in determining the trend in the second half of this year, so it seems that we should closely watch the flow.
The trend that is about to form after this volatility period is expected to become full-fledged after mid-September.
Therefore, rather than rushing to start trading, I think it is better to start trading slowly when you have some confidence.
-
The StochRSI indicator on the 1M chart is showing a strong downward trend.
However, the StochRSI indicator on the 1W chart can be seen as showing a weak downward trend.
Therefore, we should check whether the StochRSI indicator rises above the midpoint when a new candle is created next week.
If it does not rise above the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart and the StochRSI indicator does not rise above the midpoint, there is a possibility that the downward trend will become stronger again, so caution is required.
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(1D chart)
The important volatility period is the volatility period shown on the 1W chart.
However, I think it is highly likely that a trend will gradually form after passing the volatility period shown on the 1D chart.
Therefore, we need to check what kind of movement it shows after passing the volatility period around July 28 (July 27-29).
The 65920.71-67614.25 section is an important section made up of the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart and the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart.
-
Since the creation of the HA-High indicator means that a high point section has been formed, the presence of support near the HA-High indicator is important.
Since the area near the HA-High indicator corresponds to the high point section, in most cases, the area near the HA-High indicator corresponds to the resistance section.
However, in order for a large uptrend, i.e. a step-up, to begin, the price must be maintained above the HA-High indicator.
According to this correlation, the current average purchase price corresponds to the trading point.
-
After touching the HA-Low indicator and rising, the HA-High indicator showed a step-up, showing a large uptrend, and now it is touching the HA-Low indicator again and showing the same movement as the current one.
Therefore, if the price can be maintained by rising above the HA-High indicator this time, it is highly likely to show a new uptrend.
However, if it fails and falls, the HA-Low indicator is likely to show a step-down, so caution is required.
-
The creation of the HA-Low indicator means that a low point range has been formed.
Therefore, if it falls below the HA-Low indicator, it is highly likely to update the latest low, so caution is required when trading.
Therefore, it is recommended to start trading after confirming the support from the HA-Low indicator, that is, the rising pattern.
If the HA-Low indicator is supported and rises, there is a high possibility of obtaining high profits.
-
The M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is rising past the 62K level.
Therefore, after the volatility period around July 28, the key issue is whether there is support around 63118.62-64000.0.
Since the HA-High indicator on the 1M chart is showing a pattern of being created at the 61099.25 point, if it falls below this point and shows resistance, you should ask for a countermeasure for the stepwise downtrend.
Therefore, the direction in which it deviates from the 65920.71-67614.25 section in the 63118.62-64000.0 is something to check during this volatility period (around July 28).
-
Have a nice time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
A full-scale uptrend is expected to start after rising above 29K.
The next bull market is expected to touch 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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노트
#BTCUSDTAgain, we need to check if it is supported near the HA-High indicator (67614.25) on the 1D chart.
We need to check if this rise changes to StochRSI > StochRSI EMA.
If it is supported near the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart when it breaks out of the oversold zone while changing to StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, it is a time to buy.
However, since the 1.13 (67031.36) ~ 69000.0 section corresponds to the first section of the 1M chart, it is expected that the upward trend will continue only if this section is broken upward.
Therefore, we need to think about a response plan for this.
If there is no response plan for this, I think it would be better to check the movement after the volatility period of July 27-29.
노트
#BTCUSDTYou should check whether you can start trading based on the support around the HA-High indicator (67614.25) on the 1D chart.
This depends on your average purchase price, so you should think about a response plan that suits you.
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The StochRSI indicator and the StochRSI EMA indicator appear to have crossed.
In addition, the StochRSI indicator appears to have risen above the midpoint.
Accordingly, it is expected that you will be able to select the trading point depending on where the candle closes today.
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This volatility period is until July 29th.
노트
#BTCUSDT(1M)
We need to check whether it will be supported in the 1.13 (67031.36) ~ 1.27 (73308.95) range and rise above 1.618 (88913.24), or fall below 0.886 (56090.42).
It is currently moving sideways in the 2nd ~ 1st range.
(1W)
The key is whether it can support around 65920.71-69000 and rise above 1.27 (73308.95).
If not, and it falls below the important rising channel, it is highly likely to fall to around 0.786 (51606.42).
(1D)
This volatility period is until July 29.
After this volatility period, we need to check whether we can start a new transaction depending on whether there is support around 67614.25.
If the average purchase price is formed below 61099.25, the area around 65920.71-67614.25 is the split sell area.
The next volatility period is around August 12th, so we need to see if the price can hold above 65920.71-67614.25 until then.
노트
#BTCUSDTVolatility period has ended.
We need to check for support near 67614.25.
Important support and resistance areas are
- 69000.0
- 65920.71-67614.25
- 63118.62-64000.0
- 61099.25
We need to check for support at the above points or areas.
Next week's volatility period is around August 12.
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The key is which direction it deviates from the box area of the HA-High indicator.
The MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator is passing near the lower point of the box of the HA-High indicator.
Therefore, if it falls below the lower point of the HA-High indicator box, there is a possibility that it will turn into a short-term downtrend.
In that case, what you should pay attention to is whether there is support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
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When the TS-BW indicator is maintained above 40, that is, assuming that it will maintain an upward trend,
1. If the StochRSI indicator turns downward from the overbought zone or becomes a state where StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, you should find a time to sell in installments.
2. If the StochRSI indicator turns upward from the oversold zone or becomes a state where StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, you should find a time to buy.
노트
#BTCUSDTIt shows a downward trend below the lower point of the HA-High indicator box.
Accordingly, you can trade on whether there is support near the lower point of the box.
Basically, if you see resistance near the lower point of the box, you need a stop loss for the amount purchased near the HA-High indicator.
The reason is that if it falls near the HA-High indicator, it is highly likely to touch the HA-Low indicator.
However, there is a possibility that the HA-Low indicator will move as the price falls.
Since the MS-Signal indicator (M-Signal on the 1D chart) is passing near the lower point of the HA-High indicator box, you can see that the lower point of the HA-High indicator box this time is an important support and resistance area.
If it falls below the MS-Signal indicator (M-Signal on the 1D chart),
1st: M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart
2nd: HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart
You should check whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above in a volatile manner.
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You can see that the StochRSI indicator of the TS-BW indicator and the BW-StochRSI indicator look slightly different.
The BW-StochRSI indicator is an indicator that uses only the closing price of the Heikin Ashi candle as the source value in the basic StochRSI indicator formula.
The TS-BW indicator is an indicator with changes in the source value and formula.
The BW-StochRSI indicator is an indicator expressed as an indicator included in the BW indicator, and the StochRSI indicator of the TS-BW indicator is an indicator created to see the wave.
Therefore, you will only see the StochRSI indicator of the TS-BW indicator by default.
The reason why I mentioned the BW-StochRSI indicator and the StochRSI indicator of the TS - BW indicator above is because I wanted to tell you that the direction of the wave can be predicted to some extent by the correlation between the BW indicator of the TS - BW indicator and the StochRSI indicator.
When the BW indicator is in the overbought zone (over 40) and the oversold zone (under -40), you can figure out when to find the trading point based on the movement of the StochRSI indicator.
However, in order to use the correlation of the above indicators as reference information for trading strategies, you need the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
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The importance of the support and resistance points is considered to be the support and resistance points of the 1M > 1W > 1D charts, and it is recommended to display the support and resistance points drawn on each chart differently.
Therefore, the chart above was created.
The 65920.71 point is the HA-High indicator point of the 1W chart.
Therefore, if it falls from the 65920.71 point, it is likely to meet the HA-Low indicator of the 1W chart.
However, based on the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts, the next support area is 63118.62-64000.0.
Since the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart is passing near 63118.62, we can see that the 63118.62-64000.0 area is an important support and resistance area.
When multiple indicators and support and resistance points intersect or converge in this way, there is a high possibility that a meaningful point or area will be formed.
If you have found a meaningful point or section like the above method, then you can check the correlation between the BW indicator and the StochRSI indicator mentioned above, check the trading time, and create a trading strategy to respond.
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The chart above is a Renko chart of the 1D chart.
I think the Renko chart is a good chart to check the trend because it expresses the sweep or fake according to the wave.
Therefore, in order to turn into a current downtrend, you can see that it falls below 65000 and a downward block is created.
Therefore, you can confirm again that the 63118.62-64000.0 section mentioned above is an important and meaningful section.
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In order to create a new upward wave, you must maintain the price by rising above the HA-High indicator.
On the other hand, in order to create a new downward wave, you must maintain the price by falling below the HA-Low indicator.
노트
#BTCUSDT.P#BTCUSDT
The difference between the futures chart and the spot chart is about 300.
Accordingly, you should find a trading point depending on whether there is support around 63088.3-64300.0 on the futures chart and around 63118.62-64000.0 on the spot chart.
노트
#BTCUSDTIt is touching the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and showing an upward trend.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can receive support around 64413.10-65441.08.
64413.10 point: Sell line point of superTrend indicator
65441.08 point: Bottom point of HA-High indicator box on 1D chart
If it rises above 65441.08,
1st: HA-High indicator point of 1D chart (67614.25)
2nd: Top point of HA-High indicator box on 1D chart (70288.0)
The 1st and 2nd points above are important support and resistance areas.
There is a possibility of volatility around August 4th when the long-term upward trend line and the short-term upward trend line intersect.
The next important volatility period is around August 12th.
In any case, since it has fallen below the HA-HIgh indicator on the 1D and 1W charts, if it fails to rise, it is likely to meet the HA-Low indicator on the 1D and 1W charts, so you should consider a response plan for that.
Currently, the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart is formed at the 57754.37 point, and the HA-Low indicator on the 1W chart is formed at the 17880.71 point.
Therefore, if it falls below 63118.62-64000.0,
1st: 61099.25 (HA-HIgh indicator point on 1M chart)
2nd: 57754.37 (HA-Low indicator point on 1D chart)
We need to check for support near the 1st and 2nd above.
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The StochRSI indicator has failed to enter the overbought zone and is in a downward state.
This means that the decline is strong, so it seems likely to lead to an additional decline.
Therefore, if it falls below the box range of the HA-High indicator and shows resistance, it is expected to eventually meet the HA-Low indicator.
노트
You can see that a lot of money is flowing into the coin market through USDT.
We need to see if USDC can maintain its high point of 26.525B and continue its upward trend.
Since USDC is mainly made up of US funds, I think that the rise of USDC is likely to make the coin market healthy.
Since USDT is widely used worldwide, I think that unless USDT turns into a downward trend, the coin market is likely to continue its upward trend.
Therefore, I think that USDT can see the medium- to long-term trend of the coin market, and USDC can see the short- and medium-term trend.
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As an individual investor, what you should be interested in is BTC.D and USDT.D.
The BTC.D chart is a BTC dominance chart.
If BTC dominance encounters resistance in the 55.01-62.47 range and declines, it is expected that altcoins will start to rise.
Since the rise in BTC dominance means that funds are concentrated toward BTC, altcoins are likely to gradually move sideways or turn into a downtrend in this situation.
Therefore, when BTC dominance is rising, caution is required when trading altcoins.
The USDT.D chart is a USDT dominance chart.
The reason why you should look at the USDT dominance chart is because USDT is a stable coin that is widely used worldwide and has a great influence on the coin market.
Therefore, the rising USDT dominance means that the coin market is likely to show an overall downward trend.
Therefore, it is recommended that the USDT dominance fall or show a downward trend.
In that sense, I think the 4.97 point is an important point.
Therefore, in order for the coin market to show an upward trend, the USDT dominance must remain below 4.97 or show a downward trend.
If not, and it rises above 0.618, the coin market is expected to show a medium- to long-term downward trend.
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To summarize the above,
- When USDT and USDC do not show a downward trend,
- When BTC.D and USDT.D show a downward trend
When the above conditions are met, it is the time to find a trading point.
노트
#BTCUSDTThe Buy line of the superTend indicator has been touched.
Therefore, the key is whether it can receive support near the Buy line.
Since the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart is passing near the Buy line, it can be interpreted that it is located in an important section.
I think that one of the easiest ways to find a trading point is to check the correlation between the StochRSI indicator and the StochRSI EMA indicator.
Volatility can occur when the StochRSI indicator enters or exits the oversold or overbought section, or when it touches the middle point.
Therefore, when the StochRSI indicator and the StochRSI EMA indicator intersect, or when the StochRSI indicator shows a movement that may cause volatility, you should check whether it is near the support and resistance points.
When StochRSI > StochRSI EMA is in the state or it shows signs of breaking out of the oversold zone, it is a good time to find a trading point.
When the StochRSI EMA indicator enters the oversold zone and becomes StochRSI > StochRSI EMA and breaks out of the oversold zone, there is a high possibility of a large increase, so it is worth setting a stop loss point and trying to trade.
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Since the BW indicator has fallen from the overbought zone (over 30), there is a possibility of further decline, so the current movement is important.
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The 61099.25 point is the HA-High indicator of the 1M chart.
Therefore, if it falls below 61099.25 and shows signs of resistance, there is a possibility of a long-term downtrend.
However, considering the location of the support and resistance points, the downtrend is likely to continue only when it falls below 56K, so caution is required when trading until then.
If you predict and trade in advance, you are in a section where there is a high possibility of suffering a loss.
Therefore, you should recall the trading strategy (trading period) you thought about when conducting the current transaction and think of a response plan that matches it.
노트
#BTCUSDTIf it falls in the 2nd section, 56K-61K section, it is highly likely to turn into a downtrend.
If it falls below 56K,
1st: M-Signal on 1M chart
2nd: 42K-43K
We need to check whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd sections above.
Therefore, it is important whether it can rise above 61099.25.
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It fell again near the bottom of the important rising channel.
The key is whether it can rise along the important rising channel.
The next volatility period is around mid-September.
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It is showing a downtrend after passing the volatility period around July 28.
This downtrend is likely to become more concrete after the volatility period around August 12.
Since it is moving sideways in the 56K-71K range, the key to the trend becoming more concrete is which direction it deviates from this range.
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The HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart has been touched.
Accordingly, if the HA-Low indicator falls, it is likely to show a stepwise downtrend.
However, if it shows support near the HA-Low indicator, it is a time to buy.
Therefore, it is necessary to check which direction it is trying to deviate from the box range of the HA-Low indicator.
In addition, when StochRSI > StochRSI EMA or when the StochRSI indicator shows signs of moving out of the oversold range, it is a time to find a time to buy.
It seems that the time to find a time to buy is approaching.
As we touch the HA-Low indicator this time, the current HA-Low indicator box range is 56289.45-61447.63.
노트
Recently, USDT is showing a long lower tail.
Since the size of the candle is thought to be created by trading, I think the long tail is a sign that a sharp transaction has occurred.
Therefore, it seems that a new power has changed.
I think that USDC is likely to show an upward trend if it is maintained above 26.525B.
BTC dominance is showing a serious upward trend above 55.01.
Accordingly, caution is required when trading altcoins.
In order for the altcoin to start to rise, it must fall or show a downward trend after encountering resistance around 55.01-62.47.
At this time, the USDT dominance must fall below 4.97 and remain or show a downward trend.
You need to check if the USDT dominance can fall and encounter resistance around 0.618.
If not, it is likely to rise to around 6.39.
If that happens, the coin market is expected to experience another large decline overall, so you need to think about a response plan for this.
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The most important thing to consider in trading strategies and response strategies is how much cash you currently have.
If the cash you currently have is around 20% of your total investment, you don't need to worry too much even if it shows a downward trend.
노트
#BTCUSDTIf you look at the Renko chart, you can see that the current block border is not yet.
This phenomenon means that the current price is not yet confirmed.
Therefore, we need to check the movement when the block is definitely formed.
As I mentioned before, a bearish block was formed as it fell below 65K.
We need to watch where it will find support and create an upward block.
Based on the support and resistance points currently shown on the chart, we need to check if it can find support around 52500.
노트
#BTCUSDTAs seen in the Volume candles chart, it seems that there has been a lot of trading volume recently.
We need to check how this increase in trading volume will affect future movements.
In addition, the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart has been touched.
Therefore, we need to check whether it can enter the medium- to long-term rising channel after passing the next volatility period around August 12th.
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If the price is currently maintained below the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart, it is highly likely to lead to a stepwise downtrend.
Therefore, the key is whether it can rise above the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart.
Therefore, the 56K-61K range is likely to act as resistance now.
Therefore, when the time for trading becomes possible and a purchase is made, the first selling range should be considered as 56K-61K and a response strategy should be created.
The time for trading is when StochRSI > StochRSI EMA and when it has escaped the oversold range, and you should proceed by looking at the movement at the support and resistance points.
In other words, if StochRSI > StochRSI EMA and it has risen from the oversold range and has risen to the 56K-61K range, it is difficult to proceed with a purchase.
This is because even if the indicator shows an upward trend, if it enters the support and resistance range, the movement is likely to be restricted.
This is because it is judged that the upward trend cannot continue and the possibility of a decline is high.
Therefore, when the movement of the StochRSI indicator has turned upward near the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart or near 0.786 (51606.42), you should check whether there is support and find the time to proceed with a purchase.
If you look at the movement around June 24th, I think you can understand.
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If the price falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart and maintains, there is a high possibility that a downtrend will continue in the long term.
At this time, the important section is the 42K-43K section.
I think the 42K-43K section is likely to act as a strong support section.
노트
#BTCUSDT
The color of the candle is displayed differently as x1.25, x2, x2.5, x3 based on the 18EMA of the trading volume.
You can see that the color of the current candle is x3 or more.
Therefore, it seems likely that the trend will be determined again based on today's candle.
Therefore, we need to check whether it shows sideways or support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
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