Probably everyone ask question if recent compression leads to upside or downside. Unfortunately price action in the box have characteristics of both. For Bulls you can count 3 sets of 1-2s and Bears can find corrective ABC where circle a is equal to circle c and A is equal to C.
We need to ask how both price actions can be explain on broader scoop.
The Bear scenario calls for fifth down from current level to finish C wave of Flat. At the same time reaching 2nd wave of extended 5th, typical retracement level for 5th extension.
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Now we are testing Bulls camp Leading Diagonal or 1-2s
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So by now we know Leading Diagonal option is off the table. Wave 4 (the box) is rather big compering to wave 2 but 4 is fib 1.68 of wave 2. so there is proportion. another question is if wave down from the box is 5th or maybe just 3rd.