BTC Distribution Scenario - Revised timings

5월 4일

Updated Bitcoin scenario - mapped with new, extended timeframe.

It's a scenario pattern that's undoubtedly familiar - everyone's favorite, the Wyckoff distribution trend.

Several elements support this structure are worth noting:

- The distribution phase is occurring just above the previous all-time high (ATH).
- This potential top is showing a monthly bearish divergence vs 2021 ATH.

While the structure of these patterns never perfectly aligns with Wyckoff's illustrations, they often follow key stages marked by significant swings in price. This scenario presents swings of around 25%

The scenario assumes that we are now well within Phase B, past the Sign of Weakness (SOW) below initial support (target price was 59K but final SOW was closer to 56k) and we now move into the Upthrust (UT), target is 75k BTCUSD.

If this scenario holds true, the potential new Bitcoin ATH comes early August at around 80k.

Best, Hard Forky

Initial Scenario Mapping:

5월 12일

노트

5월 13일

노트

HL, move up now in progress.

5월 16일

노트

5월 20일

노트

5월 29일

노트

Final leg up in Phase B -

5월 31일

노트

Upward Thrust Entries in

6월 4일

노트

6월 17일

노트

limite UT rally - some possible price recovery over next few days

7월 2일

노트

Flat through to end of August

7월 10일

노트

Revised SOW - the trends have been profitable but perhaps this pattern is due to run through to 2025