Hi everyone๐(Reading time less than 5 minutesโฐ).
In this post, I tried to first technically analyze the Bitcoin chart in the weekly time frame for you and then tell you about the positive and negative news of Bitcoin.
First, I must say that this is the second time Bitcoin has attacked the ๐ดheavy resistance zone($32,420-$28,900)๐ด.
It is interesting to know that the ๐ดheavy resistance zone๐ด was broken after the fourth time when it was playing the role of the ๐ขheavy support zone๐ข.
So, it is not far from expecting that the second attack on the heavy resistance zone will โfailโ and Bitcoin will go down again.
Bitcoin seems to have the potential to form a descending channel, and I predict that the second major pivot of Bitcoin will be completed in the ๐กTime Reversal Zone(TRZ/In July )๐ก (above the descending channel).
Now let's take a look at the Volume and RSI indicators:
We can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between Volume and Price.
I think we should wait to see Regular Divergence(RD-) in the RSI indicator, and RSI will approach the uptrend line again.๐
๐I expect the maximum increase of Bitcoin will be up to 100-SMA, and probably, Bitcoin will not succeed in filling the ๐ตUpper CME Gap๐ต and will start to fall again and will fill the ๐ตLower CME Gap๐ต first.
Now let's take a short look at fundamentals and news (โpositiveโ and โnegativeโ):
โPositiveโ:
โThe possibility of launching a BlackRock Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) for Bitcoin.
โHeavy purchase of Bitcoin by MicroStrategy company:
Michael Silver, the founder of MicroStrategy Company, has announced that this company has added 12,333 bitcoins with an approximate value of 347 million dollars to its number of bitcoins. The average purchase price of the bitcoins bought by Microstrategy is $29,668, and currently, this company has 152,333 Bitcoins worth $4.52 billion
โHong Kong's largest bank HSBC launches Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF
โMastercard company looking to create Crypto card
โNegativeโ:
โPowell, the head of the Federal Reserve, said that there is a possibility of a recession in the market, and most of the members of the Federal Reserve expect that the American interest rate will increase by 2 steps by the end of the year.
โOne billion dollars of Bitcoin was sent by miners to exchanges. Normally, this can be seen as a major increase in selling pressure on Bitcoin.
โShort-term holders of Bitcoin are in profit:
After the price growth of Bitcoin from the range of $25,000 to $30,000, more than 66% of the Bitcoins that are kept in the market for a short period of time are in profit (1.6 million Bitcoins), and also 96.9% (2.6 million Bitcoins) (Bitcoin short-term holders are in profit).
โExchanges' problems with different governments, for example, the expulsion of Binance from Belgium and Austria.
โThe cryptocurrency market is still affected by the events of the FTX exchange and the LUNA project.