BTCUSDT Potential direction (Estimate next peak in April)

2021년 1월 22일

My very novice TA.

I suspected that 42k (8th Jan) was the peak of that cycle & it would dip from there probably to 28-25k over a week or so, say by the 18th feb. That process held off for about a week but is now in full swing. I estimate that it could go to as low as 22 & then pop back up, & follow more or less within the range (Yellow plot), more or less a in fluctuating sideways direction, then gradually start coming back up again. With the next peak sometime in April, probably not drastically higher, but probably about 47k to 52k.

Just an idea, not financial advice. I am short-term bearish as the December wave was far too frothy & clearly broke at 42k, and now that wave is still coming down, getting ready for the next set. If I look at the fib circles & sine waves, or atleast just visually with my very basic understanding, & then look at the MACD, there is still some more room to come down before it plateaus out. Then as I say I think it will go sideways, then gradually back up. There's so much institutional investment money pumped into it, but in every cycle, there's a dip, as sell orders get triggered & people cash out, before buy orders get triggered & people buy more.

So that's my very novice TA.. Definitely not financial advice, I'm a construction worker, not a financial analyst lol. Just an idea & trying to see if i can map out the potential direction moving forward. Give it a like or some constructive criticism if you like. Look after yourselves, & buy the dip.. Peace :)