2021 vs 2025: Bitcoin Showing a Similar Macro Structure

Bitcoin is showing a price structure very similar to the 2021 macro top, where BTC formed a dead-cat bounce from the 100 EMA before beginning a major correction.

On the current cycle, BTC is once again testing the 100 EMA, and the price reaction looks very similar to the 2021 pattern: a brief bounce followed by continued downside pressure.

Key Points:

- 2021 Pattern: BTC bounced from the 100 EMA before the macro crash.

- 2025 Price Action: Showing a similar bounce and reject structure at the same weekly EMA.

- Major Weekly Resistance: Market showing exhaustion and lower-high structure, just like previous cycle tops.

- Potential Dead-Cat Bounce: We could see a bounce toward the $100K–$107K zone before the downtrend continues.

- Possible Repeat Scenario: If BTC fails to hold above the 100 EMA, history suggests a deeper correction may follow.

Cheers
Hexa