Bitcoin Structure & Order Flow Analysis

✅ What the chart is telling us
1) Strong Impulsive Down Move

Large bearish impulse candles

High selling volume

CVD deeply negative → aggressive sellers in control

Main trend is still down.

2) Reversal Reaction at Support Zone

At the local bottom we see:

Increased volume at lows ✔️

CVD flattening ✔️

Multiple failed breakdown attempts ✔️

This area shows buyers absorbing, shorts covering, and early longs stepping in.

3) First Higher Low (HL)

A Higher Low formed following a sharp drop.

✅ First sign of potential trend shift

❗Not a confirmed uptrend yet

To confirm a true reversal we need:

HL → done

HH → minor HH formed

Retest & hold → pending

So far this is only early recovery structure, not yet trend reversal confidence.

4) Key Level: POC + Value Area Low

Price is holding above yesterday’s POC — short-term bullish signal.

However, overhead we have:

Mid-range resistance

102.3–102.6 supply zone

Micro-value high cap

Price is pushing into resistance.

📊 1H Structure Summary
Element Status
Higher timeframe Downtrend
Current structure HL → minor HH
Volume Stabilizing
CVD Recovering (-9k → -380)
Location Retest of POC into supply
Bias Range → early accumulation signs

This is not a FOMO long spot.
This is a range recovery zone, not breakout continuation.

🎯 Trade Scenarios
🔥 Bullish scenario

Looking for:

Minor pullback

Hold 101.90–102.10

Break into 103,000 zone

Best long entry = HL retest after breakout, not here.

❄️ Bearish scenario

Short continuation if:

Price loses 101.90

Drops below Value Low

CVD flips down again

✅ Trader Game Plan

We do not chase here. Patience wins.

Looking for either:

Pullback to 1H demand + bounce → long scalp

Reject from 102.6 + LH on 5m → short continuation

Trade the reaction, not prediction.
Let the market show direction before committing.

📌 Conclusion

Buyers showed life — but still need to prove momentum.

Key levels

Bull defense: 102.0 – 101.9

Breakout confirmation: 102.6+

Bear continuation trigger: < 101.9

Now is the time to wait, not guess.
Patience ≠ weakness — it’s discipline.