1.Halving event has always triggered the bull run. The parabolic move happened about 2-3 months after the halving date
2. A more detailed look into halving phases can be found here in my friend Kinoko Halving Chart. Based on the price moment and the timeline, I believe that we are in Anticipation phase (6 months prior to the Halving date)
3.What different this time is the approval of Bitcoin ETF with Third Deadline in Jan24 and Final Deadline in Mar24 so I expect the Anticipation phase will be very speculative this time
4.Yet I don’t think this is the “buy the rumour, sell the news” type of event because ETF is about mainstream institutions to be LEGALLY join the BTC market, there’s no front-runner, sneaky way around (see the volume and price movement of Gold ETF)
5. Hence, the 4th Bull Run may come early and be much different than before. So #accumulatebtc but don’t #fomo, because more likely than not, we will have good set up to entry (potential shakeout)