As we go parabolic we're starting to get into the completion of the butterfly. Here are the things a prudent bull should be noticing in the BTC chart, consist with historic bull traps.
Entering into the 51 - 53K zone, we're into the maximum danger zone for bulls. A shroud bull may hedge their position in the futures/CFD markets at this point. Or exit longs and enter if we breakout above. In both cases, the price risk on a stop above the high would be 10 - 15% and protect against losses of 75% or more. Allowing someone to massively increase their net position if they are strong bull.
For the bears, what to do should be obvious.
If we can get a bit above my selling zone, I'm likely to become a strong BTC bull again, but this looks like the death zone for bulls. I'm not touching it in here, all the RR stacks to the short.
Entering into the 51 - 53K zone, we're into the maximum danger zone for bulls. A shroud bull may hedge their position in the futures/CFD markets at this point. Or exit longs and enter if we breakout above. In both cases, the price risk on a stop above the high would be 10 - 15% and protect against losses of 75% or more. Allowing someone to massively increase their net position if they are strong bull.
For the bears, what to do should be obvious.
If we can get a bit above my selling zone, I'm likely to become a strong BTC bull again, but this looks like the death zone for bulls. I'm not touching it in here, all the RR stacks to the short.
코멘트:
Adding some sell stops 50,270 and 50,120 to get up to full short earlier if it breaks. Ideally it spikes for my limits. Better entry.
코멘트:
Full short 50,750
코멘트:
Probably early. Out my tighter stop trades and have some longs on to cover a spike.
Plan to be larger short between 51.5 and 52.5
Plan to be larger short between 51.5 and 52.5
코멘트:
Got stopped out some short-term entries. Swing stops not hit yet. Position increased 52.5 - 52.7
코멘트:
Breaking of the bull trap may be approaching.
Selling 50,800
Limits 51,450
51,709
52,150
Sell stop orders (To enter into falling market)
49,400
49,500
48.900
45,900
(I consider these critical break levels and would want to be short if these hit before my upside limits)
All stops are 57,790.
Target 13,270.