Watch out for falling objects.

2018년 5월 16일

So here we are almost near the end of consensus 2018, and the situation is looking rather grim from my perspective. We've now had a run-up to 10k and denied, hit 9500 and denied, hit 9k and denied - now we're at 9200ish at the point of writing this and I cannot see a situation in which any of this is bullish. The market has taken multiple sustained hits and hasn't recovered an iota - the sentiment has remained bullish on the fact that I think people have made easy money for so long that they cannot envision a situation where this can get any worse and are waiting at the door for the slightest bull case.

So my projection looks like thus:

Scenario 1: Looking at my favorite indicator on a 6-hour scale this is going to cascade more then likely into 7800 within the next 24 hours and will begin what i believe is the panic portion of the classic bubble chart. I find trader sentiment heavily based in denial and I think this is only going to feed that trend. An inability to hold 7800-8200 means in my opinion 7500 is next.

Scenario 2: (Extremely highly unlikely) Bullish, we bounce in the next 6-12 hours to revisit 9k, and then have a panic drop. I cannot see this from any point other then it fits into the lines.

2018년 6월 14일

거래청산: 타겟 닿음

At this point I would say that my chart worked out. Anyone that shorted when I posted this would be up in a massive way.