First Major Breakdown of the Cycle For Bitcoin

⚠️ Bitcoin Loses $108K Support, The First Major Breakdown of the Cycle.

Bitcoin has lost the $108K support zone, breaking through not only a key horizontal level but also both trendlines that defined this cycle’s uptrend.

As many seasoned traders anticipated, we’ve now reached the 18-month mark after the halving, historically, the point where bullish cycles tend to fade. This breakdown is therefore a first major warning that we may be entering a broader bearish phase.


🔍 False Breakout or Real Trend Shift?

Could this be a fakeout? It’s always possible.

But one key detail stands out:

The volatility during this drop has been remarkably low. That’s not typical of a stop-hunt or manipulation-driven sell-off, it’s more consistent with a gradual trend reversal where buying pressure quietly fades away.

So far, the structure suggests a slow distribution phase, not panic selling. And that are bad news for $BITSTAMP:BTCUSD.


📊 What to Watch Next And Some Good News

Price is currently hovering near the $100K zone, which could act as a temporary balance area, a place where Bitcoin might consolidate before making its next move. A good place to play the range and make money.
Remember that Bitcoin is moving in clear ranges as demonstrated here:

If this level fails to hold, the next significant supports are around $93K and $81K, both of which align with historical volume nodes and the previous explanation.

Another way to see where the ecosystem stands now is by watching stocks like MSTR or COIN , which are highly correlated with BTC. In both cases, key supports are still holding, but there’s significant downside risk if those levels fail.






🧭 Strategy Outlook

This is not a comfortable time to be long on BTCUSD or crypto in general. The risk/reward ratio for bullish positions has deteriorated sharply, and confirmation of any recovery would require reclaiming $108K with solid volume.

Until then, staying cautious, hedged, or shorting the resistances might be the wisest move.


💬 Markets don’t crash all at once, they turn slowly, then suddenly.
This could be one of those moments where early observation makes all the difference.