Hello traders, today I am reposting my analysis for Bitcoin on the weekly timeframe with updates.
Right Window – Previous Roadmap
The right chart shows my earlier analysis “Bitcoin Roadmap to $144K by September – Daily Chart Breakout Set”. In that setup, the main uptrend channel (black) from October 2023 and sub-channels (red and cyan) were mapped.
Although I mistakenly closed the trade after the first target was achieved, I still believe the uptrend from mid-March 2024 is ongoing. I have extended my projection to mid-November 2025, with a target of $148K.
Left Window – Current Structure
On the left chart, we see a new bullish pattern developing. This can be interpreted as either a cup & two handles or an inverse head & shoulders.
- Price has already closed above the neckline (white line).
- A successful retest of the neckline adds confidence to the breakout.
- Fibonacci extension levels project:
200% ≈ $134K
260% ≈ $148K
As long as Bitcoin trades above $100K, I believe the next phases are toward $134K and then $148K.
Proposed Position Setup - Entry zone: Current price area (~$116K)
- Stop-loss: ~$95K (conservative placement below $100K)
- Target: $148K
- Alternate stop for aggressive traders: Weekly close below $105K (red shoulders-support line)
- This setup balances both faster and longer-term trading styles.
Risk-to-Reward Evaluation- Potential Profit: ~$32K (from $116K to $148K)
- Potential Loss: ~$21K (from $116K to $95K)
- Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~1.5 : 1
This is acceptable for a weekly swing trade, especially given the uptrend confirmation and multi-pattern confluence.
Key Takeaways & Timeline- Trend bias: Bullish
- Main support: $100K (conservative stop-loss below this)
- Main targets: $134K and $148K
- Expected timeline: Mid-November 2025
- Invalidation: Weekly close below $100K (or $105K for aggressive traders)
I remain bullish on Bitcoin as long as price respects the green uptrend line (Oct 2023) and holds above $100K. Volatility is expected, but structure remains intact.
Trade safe and size positions according to personal risk tolerance. - Potential Profit: ~$32K (from $116K to $148K)
관련 발행물
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면책사항
이 정보와 게시물은 TradingView에서 제공하거나 보증하는 금융, 투자, 거래 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권고 사항을 의미하거나 구성하지 않습니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참고하세요.