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Bitcoin Roadmap Update: Cup & Handle Targeting $148K

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Hello traders, today I am reposting my analysis for Bitcoin on the weekly timeframe with updates.

Right Window – Previous Roadmap
The right chart shows my earlier analysis “Bitcoin Roadmap to $144K by September – Daily Chart Breakout Set”. In that setup, the main uptrend channel (black) from October 2023 and sub-channels (red and cyan) were mapped.
Although I mistakenly closed the trade after the first target was achieved, I still believe the uptrend from mid-March 2024 is ongoing. I have extended my projection to mid-November 2025, with a target of $148K.

Left Window – Current Structure
On the left chart, we see a new bullish pattern developing. This can be interpreted as either a cup & two handles or an inverse head & shoulders.
  • Price has already closed above the neckline (white line).
  • A successful retest of the neckline adds confidence to the breakout.
  • Fibonacci extension levels project:
    200% ≈ $134K
    260% ≈ $148K
    As long as Bitcoin trades above $100K, I believe the next phases are toward $134K and then $148K.

    Proposed Position Setup
  • Entry zone: Current price area (~$116K)
  • Stop-loss: ~$95K (conservative placement below $100K)
  • Target: $148K
  • Alternate stop for aggressive traders: Weekly close below $105K (red shoulders-support line)
  • This setup balances both faster and longer-term trading styles.

    Risk-to-Reward Evaluation
    • Potential Profit: ~$32K (from $116K to $148K)
    • Potential Loss: ~$21K (from $116K to $95K)
    • Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~1.5 : 1

    This is acceptable for a weekly swing trade, especially given the uptrend confirmation and multi-pattern confluence.

    Key Takeaways & Timeline
    • Trend bias: Bullish
    • Main support: $100K (conservative stop-loss below this)
    • Main targets: $134K and $148K
    • Expected timeline: Mid-November 2025
    • Invalidation: Weekly close below $100K (or $105K for aggressive traders)

    I remain bullish on Bitcoin as long as price respects the green uptrend line (Oct 2023) and holds above $100K. Volatility is expected, but structure remains intact.

    Trade safe and size positions according to personal risk tolerance.

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