BTC/USD analysis time vs volatility

2017년 11월 28일

Trying to systematize Bitcoin I used Auction theory + volumes. Timeframe 1 day. Will keep it with 60 min and 15 min

Comparing Balances Volatility + time to it's impulse time volatility we can see that
Balance 1: range - 1103 $ time - 3 Mon / Impulse 1: range - 2000$, time - 16 days
Balance 2: range - 1690 $ time - 2 Mon / Impulse 2: range - 3000$, time - 21 days
Balance 3: range - 2748 $ time - 1.2 Mon / Impulse 3: range - 1600$, time - 4 days + keep going up

So, we see that impulse range in first 2 Balances was twice bigger than balance range.
Now it passed only 1/2 of the Balance 3 range. So it has lefted potential to 4500$ more.

But

Let's compare time: each balance was shorter than previous for 1 month, but range became bigger in geometric progression.
So it's first discrepancy.

Marcet cap before
Impulse 1 was $46,276,240,925 / fixing impulse (2017-08-16) - $66,296,440,710 = 20 bn dif
Impulse 2 - $79,446,948,627 / fixing impulse (2017-11-04) - $118,688,825,671 = 40 bn dif
Impulse 3 - $137,423,788,057 / now (2017-11-28) - $165,689,386,431 = 28 bn dif

So increase between starting Impulse 1 and Starting 2 was 30 bn, between 2 and 3 - 58 bn -So it's almost twice difference
Fixing impulse and turning into Balance between Impulse 1 and Balance 2 was 20 bn difference, between Impulse 2 and Balance 3 it was 40 bn dif

So for now we have about 32 bn to be added to capitalization to fix impulse 3.

The clonclusion: There is no reason now to stop BTC in growth. May have small down volatility to retest intermediate levels and keep growth at least to 11500-13000$. But we need always checking volumes that is support marketin the moment - is it comparablr to such growth or it need to collect some now.
Retest volatility coulr be in about 2-3 days with down volatility to around $9000 price level.