DennisLeeBTC

OK Let's put that 2014 Bear Fractal Theory to Rest

BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   비트코인
I'm tired of seeing sloppy comparisons of the fractal from the 2014 bear market skewed and stretched for convenience without any regard to wave count or time. That is just confirmation bias. You can see that yes, there is an uncanny resemblance between the two, however the TIME element is often ignored. If you look at the equivalent peaks and valleys you see that they do correspond, however with the additional volume in the market (and my personal theory that this is only a subwave of a larger wave) things have sped up dramatically. Let's compare apples to apples.

We have 5 waves down, a double top , and a double bottom with the second leg higher than the first. Then finally we have a bowl shaped consolidation period followed by a parabolic move.

Furthermore, in the runup to the 2014 bear market, we saw a 1739% rise in the price, whereas in 2017 it was 264%.

It could not be any clearer. We are NOT repeating 2014, if we continue the bear market it will be something entirely new and different.

Case closed.
면책사항

이 정보와 게시물은 TradingView에서 제공하거나 보증하는 금융, 투자, 거래 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권고 사항을 의미하거나 구성하지 않습니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참고하세요.