elliott77

Ascending triangle? hmm...

elliott77 업데이트됨   
COINBASE:BTCUSD   비트코인
BTC finding support on the 2 day 200 EMA? Let's see
코멘트:
I would have thought a bounce by now but the selling continues.
I changed my line to move across support instead of the beginning of the rise...my mistake but the idea remains.

코멘트:
Here is my short term prediction on the 2hr

코멘트:
코멘트:
Another decision point for BTC ...more down or finally up?
Based on the daily chart, BTC looks primed for a rally (soon) that may sustain. I had thought maybe BTC would rally and then drop slowly until the end of the month and it may, but its quite possible it takes off from here IMO. My analysis shows around the 16th a decision will be made with this regard but predicting BTC timing is virtually impossible so we wait for confirmation.

코멘트:
Looks like a run up to me. BTC why are you in a hurry? It may take up to market close to find out what BTC is up to or it may happen in a couple of hours. If I were to guess I would say its going to make its way up to the 45-46k area by tonight and sit there overnight making us wonder what it will do. I am undecided as it could go either way. I do think a decision will become clear tomorrow. Good luck to you all.

코멘트:
BTC needs another 3 days to decide IMO...let's see

코멘트:
When BTC dropped it added a couple more days so I think in about 4-5 days we will know which direction BTC will head. I'm guessing down eventually as I had originally thought. I also think the low could be eye opening but its all part of the plan for smart money to get the best buy. I think the price will lift back up a get back on track to fit in the ascending triangle structure. That's how it usually works right? Not much has changed. Let's see

코멘트:
Those that called the cup and handle were spot on it seems. I have a new path shown with the target IF BTC can break out of the cup and handle but it could always fail...let's see

코멘트:
updated analysis...

코멘트:
Looks like the descent continues...let's see

코멘트:
another possibility IMO

코멘트:
Looks like an inverted cup and handle to me...should start dropping hard around 40.7k. Let's see

코멘트:
Is tomorrow the big and final drop before a slow recovery (probably 2-3 weeks) before BTC makes its way back to the 65k area? Only time will tell but its fascinating to watch IMO
코멘트:
코멘트:
I just keep moving my lines...the drop is timed IMO so it will happen when the powers that be decide to drop it.

코멘트:
The DOW is likely going to drop another 2% within the next few days IMO..maybe sooner than later. BTC and US markets have been correlated recently as some have pointed out. What does that mean? IMO a big drop by BTC as I show, followed by a rally soon after unless more down? We shall see
코멘트:
Pattern look familiar? I think so. More patience

코멘트:
If I were smart money this is when I would drop it. It would create panic selling and great bargains. BTC has been slow about its business though...probably more down until the end of the month
코멘트:
That move by BTC confirmed to me an even lower target...36.7k area now. I'll give it 5 days or so to get there based on the past trend. The DOW will go down more today or tomorrow as well IMO. Next week we will likely see some up. Let's see

코멘트:
another idea ...ascending head and shoulders. I never trust BTC in a head and shoulders pattern which is why I am showing a possible bounce up.

코멘트:
That was the right shoulder IMO...

코멘트:
And another idea where Jan 28th is the low...let's see

코멘트:
Things change quickly..DOW dropped like I thought and down goes BTC..how hard and far down will it go down? Let's see

코멘트:
My thoughts at the current moment

코멘트:
Still glass half empty outlook until something positive changes...

매매 수동청산:
Sorry for delay...been unable to update. BTC is now in a consolidation pattern IMO.
I have an idea on this that I closed already. Perhaps I'll reopen another. Good luck

코멘트:
What does this mean...I already predicted a top of 100k given the measured target from the consolidation pattern, however there is always the blow off top scenario where BTC keeps running up for a time after it reaches the target
코멘트:
Lastly if I haven't made this clear from my notes, there is a direct correlation between US/World markets and BTC. I am giving more weight to this in my analysis as time goes on. BTC does not behave as it used to so we must adapt.
코멘트:
Here is a link to my previous chart I alluded to above ...

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