BTC Dominance (TA) - Is its the ALTs turn?

2019년 7월 18일

Observation:

On the daily chart we can see another upward trend, wedge, with a recent drop of BTC dominance which also correlates to the ALTs latest performances.
Note the divergence that was corrected by this recent BTC drop (black lines)

I would attribute this to 2 things:
a) BTC is in a down trend as many say the correction we needed to have;
b) The ALTs have hit near rock bottom and hence being enticingly cheap;

My thoughts:
a) Either BTC is going to find the bottom soon for a reversal to the current downward trend (don't mistake this term as a bear trend).
Which many say is the 8K range and some even the 7K range.

b) Or BTC is going to move up on this recent uptrend to the edge of the BTC dominance wedge before it drops.

I am bias towards BTC down trend towards the 8 K range and then another BTC up spike. Its difficult to say at this point if the 9K was this point.
I am also of the opinion that the ALTs have a little more to go to the downside.

Mind you there is no reason why BTC cannot keep going up to 70's % range.



PREVIOUS Posting

2019년 7월 18일

노트

Interesting...I had 2 sloping supports and it looks like its sticking to one of them. BTC Dominance is heading higher to the 70s percentages as I suspected.

2019년 7월 18일

노트

2019년 7월 22일

노트

BTC domiance to drop further for the short term, target 66.90%

2019년 7월 25일

노트

2019년 7월 26일

노트

If BTC is close to the bottom, then we will experience NO H&S but a dip, something like this (Not my idea)

2019년 8월 2일

노트

How are we tracking... it would have been nice for it to drop as highlighted as then we could have had a stronger BTC dominance i feel. Hence we might expect a weakening as it moves up.

2019년 8월 2일

노트

This is odd, on the daily, the dominance is higher than the 4 Hrly. Can't make sense of it.

2019년 8월 5일

노트

My BTC dominance chart. The pattern I forcasted has even surprised me that I got it so accurate. LOL