My way of measuring the 4yr cycle is quite simple. I measure from top to top, and bottom to bottom.
The first few years of BTC it was in discovery, there was no real patterns and the volume was so low, so I personally disregard these years.
The 2012 bullrun was the first somewhat established bullrun in my opinion, so I start from the top of that one, which was Nov 2013.
By simply measuring the tops and bottoms from that point it is quite crazy how close the dates get. 4 years is 1461 days. If you look at the chart you can see how well that matches up. I personally used this chart to call the bottom in November.
By projecting this data, it would put the top somewhere around late Q3 to Q4 2025.
The first few years of BTC it was in discovery, there was no real patterns and the volume was so low, so I personally disregard these years.
The 2012 bullrun was the first somewhat established bullrun in my opinion, so I start from the top of that one, which was Nov 2013.
By simply measuring the tops and bottoms from that point it is quite crazy how close the dates get. 4 years is 1461 days. If you look at the chart you can see how well that matches up. I personally used this chart to call the bottom in November.
By projecting this data, it would put the top somewhere around late Q3 to Q4 2025.
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