The Bitcoin Event Of 2023
업데이트됨
The Next Big Bitcoin Event
Its getting to that time again the next Fib time sequence is around the corner, for months I have been going on about the next date, the last week of June 2023. Last year we managed to predict the biggest move of 2022 end of May/June 2022.
I would say I was pretty dam close and if you look at the date of that publication that was January 2022 so months before this timeframe, I already knew the outcome and it was all because of this Fib time sequence I have been using for over a year now.
When it comes to technical analysis I focus a lot on time, I think time is the key to be ahead when these macro pivots come and so far on a macro timeframe, we been successful since the start of 2022. The Fibonacci time sequence you see the main chart about is one I’m currently following closely even though is not the one, I have been following for over a year it still lines up to last week of June 2023.
If we look at the last cycle when can see that the timeframe between 0.5-0.618 happen to be a major pivot.
If we zoom in, we can see how closely 2019 its following, if we continue mirroring then its possible we see 38k top by end of June 2023 and come May 8th (0.5 Fib) we shall start seeing the pivot to the upside. Many traders are pointing to a retest of the top of previous resistance which was 25k , I think that is also possible but we would have to close above the 0.382 fib Fan to keep this rally alive , so a wick down to 25k and a close above 26k , just like it did march 6th 2023 with that massive weekly candle wick.
This date May 8th is lines up closely with the next FOMC meeting where will see what rate hike we will get if we get a pause, it would be setting up perfectly for one leg up, history shows that pauses cause short term rallies which are then followed by massive drops.
USDT dominance broke and closed above the 2/1 Gann Fann that I was watching closely which is not a good sign at all , if Bitcoin did wick to 25k then its most likely USDT would go up to the 3/1 Gann fan which is where it got rejected last time again march 6th 2023.
The bump and run that took Bitcoin out of a bear market last cycle gave us the pico top at 13.8k which was the 0.618 , this was the technical breakout target of the bump and run reversal
So this is where things getting interesting, the technical breakout target of this years bump and run that did the same thing as last cycle, took us out of a bear market is 60k , that’s right folks that’s the target of this Marco pattern.
So now to the doom and gloom the red dashed projection on the main chart. Every cycle we make a Marco double bottom , it will be a black swan event , last cycle it was covid this cycle war/banking etc many catalysts out there pick one , here it does not matter if it comes we go in heavy because we will be expecting it.
As you can see the double bottom happens before the halving event always and we are about 300days off the next which is in April 2024 so it is possible that we get the “pivot” for the crash coming last week of June 2023 if we keep on making lower lows on the daily week after week.
This year it is definitely much harder to call a direction, most of the market thinks we have plenty of time to move up but for me its 60days for the move whether is up or down it all depends for me on holding that 0.382 fan fib , we start closing under it come end of June then red projection is likely to play out , one thing for sure coming into this timeframe things are going to get crazy.
Its getting to that time again the next Fib time sequence is around the corner, for months I have been going on about the next date, the last week of June 2023. Last year we managed to predict the biggest move of 2022 end of May/June 2022.
I would say I was pretty dam close and if you look at the date of that publication that was January 2022 so months before this timeframe, I already knew the outcome and it was all because of this Fib time sequence I have been using for over a year now.
When it comes to technical analysis I focus a lot on time, I think time is the key to be ahead when these macro pivots come and so far on a macro timeframe, we been successful since the start of 2022. The Fibonacci time sequence you see the main chart about is one I’m currently following closely even though is not the one, I have been following for over a year it still lines up to last week of June 2023.
If we look at the last cycle when can see that the timeframe between 0.5-0.618 happen to be a major pivot.
If we zoom in, we can see how closely 2019 its following, if we continue mirroring then its possible we see 38k top by end of June 2023 and come May 8th (0.5 Fib) we shall start seeing the pivot to the upside. Many traders are pointing to a retest of the top of previous resistance which was 25k , I think that is also possible but we would have to close above the 0.382 fib Fan to keep this rally alive , so a wick down to 25k and a close above 26k , just like it did march 6th 2023 with that massive weekly candle wick.
This date May 8th is lines up closely with the next FOMC meeting where will see what rate hike we will get if we get a pause, it would be setting up perfectly for one leg up, history shows that pauses cause short term rallies which are then followed by massive drops.
USDT dominance broke and closed above the 2/1 Gann Fann that I was watching closely which is not a good sign at all , if Bitcoin did wick to 25k then its most likely USDT would go up to the 3/1 Gann fan which is where it got rejected last time again march 6th 2023.
The bump and run that took Bitcoin out of a bear market last cycle gave us the pico top at 13.8k which was the 0.618 , this was the technical breakout target of the bump and run reversal
So this is where things getting interesting, the technical breakout target of this years bump and run that did the same thing as last cycle, took us out of a bear market is 60k , that’s right folks that’s the target of this Marco pattern.
So now to the doom and gloom the red dashed projection on the main chart. Every cycle we make a Marco double bottom , it will be a black swan event , last cycle it was covid this cycle war/banking etc many catalysts out there pick one , here it does not matter if it comes we go in heavy because we will be expecting it.
As you can see the double bottom happens before the halving event always and we are about 300days off the next which is in April 2024 so it is possible that we get the “pivot” for the crash coming last week of June 2023 if we keep on making lower lows on the daily week after week.
This year it is definitely much harder to call a direction, most of the market thinks we have plenty of time to move up but for me its 60days for the move whether is up or down it all depends for me on holding that 0.382 fan fib , we start closing under it come end of June then red projection is likely to play out , one thing for sure coming into this timeframe things are going to get crazy.
노트
rushed this one out , few mistakes here and there sorry노트
three weekly closes above 0.382 fib fan , very strong buy signal here we going higher , chances are increasing to the upside 노트
hmmmm? 
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