BILI: Multiple TF Analysis

Daily Chart (1D)

Current Price: ~$27.35 (+4.07%)

Support Zone: $25.72 (prior consolidation, breakout retest level)

Trend Structure: Price is following a rising wedge/ascending channel since early 2023.

Near-term Target: $32–$35 (upper wedge resistance).

Breakout Path: If price closes above $36 with strong volume, the path opens toward $51.54.

Long-term Path: Above $51.54, next major resistance = $87.49 (2021 breakdown pivot).

Weekly Chart (1W)

Volume Profile: Heavy accumulation between $20–$27 confirms strong demand.

Order Blocks:

Discount Zone: $22.30–$25.72 = accumulation/buy zone.

Premium Zone: ~$36–$52 = profit-taking / distribution zone.

RSI: 65 (bullish momentum, not yet overbought).

Macro Resistance: $51.54 key breakout; $87.49–$90 is the ultimate supply zone.

Bullish Scenario: Breaks $32 → heads toward $51.54, then $87.49.

Bearish Scenario: Rejects at $32–$35, retraces to $25.72, even $22.30.

🎯 Trading Plan

Swing Long Entry: Accumulate around $25.72–$27.00 (with stop below $22.30).

First Target (T1): $32–$35 (channel resistance).

Second Target (T2): $51.54 (macro breakout level).

Extended Target (T3): $87.49–$90 (long-term supply zone).

Risk Management:

Stop-loss: ~$21.50 (below discount zone).

R:R ~ 1:3 (risking ~$5 downside for ~$15–$60 upside).

📈 Option Play (Hedge Against Manipulation)

Buy Calls: $30–$35 strikes, 6–9 months out (to capture wedge breakout).

Sell Covered Calls: Against long shares near $35 to reduce theta decay.

Protective Put: $22 strike to hedge downside.

This structure ensures profit if it breaks out, while capping risk if manipulation pushes it back into the $22 zone.

✅ Primary Bias: Bullish toward $32–$35 in the short term, with high probability of testing $51.54 in 2026. Long-term breakout toward $87 possible if China tech sentiment improves.