As we discussed, BANKNIFTY was in the sideways channel today, If we look at the chart now: The market had a bearish momentum from resistance initially, but after that, it took support and went high till the given level. Support levels: 51163, 50485, and 49700 or 200 EMA resistance levels: 51836 and 52450
If we look at the OI data: PCR = 1.09, which has decreased from 1.34, shows a bearish sign in the market. 50450 is working as max-pain. There has been a huge CE Writing at 51400 and 51500. I am expecting the market: Case 1: Sideways in range 51163-51836. Case 2: Bearish if breaks to downside.
Reason:
RSI > 50 is showing divergence, which might lead to some corrections.
Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates the bull market.
PCR = 1.09, which has decreased from 1.34, shows a bearish market.
Price> VWAP shows a bull market structure.
Verdict: Sideways or Bearish Case 1: Sideways in range 51163-51836. Case 2: Bearish if it breaks the 51163 to the downside.
Plan of action: Case 1: Sideways-> Sell 51500 CE and 51500 PE (Hedge it with 20/- premium CE) Case 2: Bearish: Keep Sell 51500 CE (Hedge it with 20/- premium CE)
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