As we discussed, BANKNIFTY was in the upside channel today, breaking the resistance to the upside and giving a really good bullish momentum. If we look at the chart now: The market had a really good bull run with huge volatility, as it had huge momentum yesterday. The market is going to have the same volatility again today. The market had a really good bullish run, breaking all the levels to the upside. We get higher levels using Fib extension. Support levels: 51163, 50485, and 49700 or 200 EMA resistance levels: 51836 and 52450
If we look at the OI data: PCR = 1.09, which has decreased from 1.34, shows a bearish sign in the market. 50450 is working as max-pain. There has been a huge CE Writing at 51400 and 51500. I am expecting the market: Case 1: Sideways in range 51163-51836. Case 2: Bearish if breaks to downside.
Reason:
RSI > 50 is showing divergence, which might lead to some corrections.
Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates the bull market.
PCR = 1.09, which has decreased from 1.34, shows a bearish market.
Price> VWAP shows a bull market structure.
Verdict:Sideways or Bearish Case 1: Sideways in range 51163-51836. Case 2: Bearish if it breaks the 51163 to the downside.
Plan of action: Case 1: Sideways-> Sell 51500 CE and 51500 PE (Hedge it with 20/- premium CE) Case 2: Bearish: Keep Sell 51500 CE (Hedge it with 20/- premium CE)