Alibaba Group, 
BABA, is a Chinese multinational company specializing in e-commerce, retail, Internet, and technology. Here is what to focus on as we're expecting the earning release on 13th February 2020.
However, Alibaba stock is climbing to a new all-time high from a breakout that makes the bulls very excited about the future. But are they right to feel optimistic? That is the question we hope to answer with the help of the Elliott Wave Principle and the chart below.
Alibaba’s weekly chart reveals the entire price structure from the 2015 bottom at $57.07. As you can see, it is a textbook five-wave impulse, labeled 1-2-3-4-5. The sub-waves of wave 3 and 5 are also visible.
The market apparently took the guideline of alternation into account, too. Wave 2 was a sharp plunge, while wave 4 moved sideways in a triangle correction. Triangles precede the final wave of the larger sequence.
If this count is correct, the current rally must be wave 5. The theory postulates that a three-wave correction in the other direction follows every impulse. For BABA stock, this means we can expect a bearish reversal once wave 5 is over around $250.
The anticipated retracement has the potential to erase the entire fifth wave. A decline back to the support area of wave 4 or even lower is very likely. $130 a share seems like a reasonable target in the next couple of years.
The risk/reward ratio doesn’t look very favorable to the bulls with the stock around $213.
Do you like this analysis? Kindly like, comment and follow.
Thank you.
BABA, is a Chinese multinational company specializing in e-commerce, retail, Internet, and technology. Here is what to focus on as we're expecting the earning release on 13th February 2020.However, Alibaba stock is climbing to a new all-time high from a breakout that makes the bulls very excited about the future. But are they right to feel optimistic? That is the question we hope to answer with the help of the Elliott Wave Principle and the chart below.
Alibaba’s weekly chart reveals the entire price structure from the 2015 bottom at $57.07. As you can see, it is a textbook five-wave impulse, labeled 1-2-3-4-5. The sub-waves of wave 3 and 5 are also visible.
The market apparently took the guideline of alternation into account, too. Wave 2 was a sharp plunge, while wave 4 moved sideways in a triangle correction. Triangles precede the final wave of the larger sequence.
If this count is correct, the current rally must be wave 5. The theory postulates that a three-wave correction in the other direction follows every impulse. For BABA stock, this means we can expect a bearish reversal once wave 5 is over around $250.
The anticipated retracement has the potential to erase the entire fifth wave. A decline back to the support area of wave 4 or even lower is very likely. $130 a share seems like a reasonable target in the next couple of years.
The risk/reward ratio doesn’t look very favorable to the bulls with the stock around $213.
Do you like this analysis? Kindly like, comment and follow.
Thank you.
노트
Daily Chart
면책사항
이 정보와 게시물은 TradingView에서 제공하거나 보증하는 금융, 투자, 거래 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권고 사항을 의미하거나 구성하지 않습니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참고하세요.
면책사항
이 정보와 게시물은 TradingView에서 제공하거나 보증하는 금융, 투자, 거래 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권고 사항을 의미하거나 구성하지 않습니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참고하세요.