The Australian dollar, as you can see, outperformed on Tuesday, regaining 0.74 status as the USD softened across the board. H4 price is now seen eyeing resistance at 0.7443, a level that’s provided the market a ceiling on a number of occasions in recent history (see pink arrows). Another interesting point on this timeframe is the potential AB=CD formation (black arrows) that completes around the underside of a daily resistance level at 0.7479 (the next upside target on the daily timeframe).
The story over on the weekly timeframe continues to trade unchanged. Price action shows demand at 0.7371-0.7442 remains in a fragile state. Continued indecisiveness here could open the window to a possible test of the 2016 yearly opening level at 0.7282 sometime down the road. In the event that the bulls regain consciousness, however, a retest of supply at 0.7812-0.7669 may be on the cards.
Areas of consideration:
With traders gearing up for this morning’s Australian inflation data, trading this market technically will likely be a challenge for the time being.
Post news, however, keep tabs on the H4 resistance level mentioned above at 0.7443 for a bounce lower. Likewise, keep eyes on daily resistance at 0.7479. The expectation from here is for price to respect this level and print a notable move lower, given its H4 AB=CD approach and nearby H4 resistance at 0.7491/0.75 handle.
Today’s data points: Australian inflation figures.